While the swell has diminished over the last few days, Surfline, official forecasters for the Vans Triple Crown, are calling for a new swell to ignite Oahu's North Shore for an exciting finale on the final day of the waiting period. Below is the updated forecast from surfline.com.
BRIEF OVERVIEW: Minimal surf prevails at Haleiwa through Thursday the 22nd, with only a small North swell wrapping in on Thanksgiving. A fun mix of WNW and NNW swell will build in for the last day of the waiting period (Saturday the 24th).
NOTE - The below surf sizes are for Haleiwa. Other spots of the North Shore that focus the swell best will produce larger waves (up to 25-50% bigger).
Check out this video on the Mechanics of Haleiwa.
SWELL/SURF: Minor WNW and North swell mix with weak surf staying mainly under waist high. Basically flat.
WIND/WEATHER: Moderate easterly Trades and partly cloudy skies.
SWELL/SURF: Small-scale North swell builds into the North Shore Wednesday afternoon and peaks on Thursday. However, Haleiwa will be heavily blocked by Pu'aena Point. Inconsistent sets up to waist high (2-3′ faces) wrap into Haleiwa by Thursday.
WIND/WEATHER: Decreasing easterly Trades, becoming light by Thursday. Partly to mostly cloudy skies.
SWELL/SURF: Small-scale WNW swell will gradually build Friday as old North swell fades. Very small through most of the day, becoming more rideable late. Stay posted for updates, as we continue to track this developing swell.
WIND/WEATHER: Calm to light/variable wind in the morning, with only a light seabreeze in the afternoon. Partly to mostlycloudy skies.
SAT (24th) LARGEST SURF of TUE-SAT TIME FRAME
SWELL/SURF: Small WNW and NNW swell mix fills in further with surf in the shoulder high zone at Haleiwa (3-4′+ faces). Stay posted for updates, as we continue to track this newly developed swell.
WIND/WEATHER: Calm to light/variable wind in the mornings, with only a light seabreeze in the afternoons. Partly to mostly cloudy skies.
We have a couple small swells lining up for the last few days of the waiting period. First, we'll have a North swell (350-360+ deg) build in Wednesday afternoon and peak on Thanksgiving Day. However, due to heavy shadowing by Pu'aena Point, Haleiwa will be small, with inconsistent sets up to waist high and maybe a touch better. This swell will show much better at north swell exposed breaks of the North Shore.
Next, a better shot of WNW swell (300-315 deg) and NNW swell (330-340) will build in Friday afternoon and be strongest on Saturday. This swell mix will create waves in the shoulder high zone at Haleiwa on Saturday, and even a little better, if the respective storms behave as forecast in the next day or two. Stay tuned.
As high pressure gradually weakens over the regionthrough the next several days, so will the easterly Trades, becoming light/variable for the second half of the week and through the end of the waiting period. Partly to mostly cloudy skies with occasional passing showers will continue to prevail.
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